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Local Builder Market Intelligence December 2010

Dissecting Price Correction Market by Market
Dissecting Price Correction Market by Market

  
   John Burns
CEO

December 14, 2010

We are often asked to make a call on how much further home prices have to correct. To do that, we study over 30 data elements on each market, talk to our clients in each market, and rely on qualitative feedback from our consultants who are regularly in the market as well as a top local market consultant.

We have spent a lot of time and $$$ trying to perfect the formula to project prices, and so have others, and it just doesn’t work because there are too many criteria (do you know how to model the impact of loan mods, for example?).

Rolling up the data nationally, prices have corrected back to Q1 2003 and our best guess is that they’ll end up near 3Q 2002 prices, which is a 5% correction from here in the Case Shiller Index. However, look at the huge differences by market. In the following chart, we’ve taken median home prices for major metros and plotted them to the year when the current price was last achieved.

(Click on chart to view larger image)

The biggest bubble markets like Phoenix, Las Vegas and Stockton have corrected back to 2000 to 2001 median prices. But many of those metros late to the downturn such as Seattle and Houston are still at 2006 prices and are likely to see more price erosion before stability returns.

We are showing resale prices above. New home prices, net of incentives, have corrected more, and we have found that they serve as a great leading indicator because home builders react quickly to market conditions.

We are putting the finishing touches on our detailed Strategy & Forecast reports for 2011 for 20 MSAs, which we hope will help you buy the right land and build the best-selling homes. Please respond to this email if you want to be added to an interest list for more detailed information on pricing and specifics, or to talk to one of our local market experts.

This is the most current available data for all variables and markets.


 
Permits Statistics
Employment Statistics
Affordability
   
12-
12-
Total
NF Payroll Employment
State
  Metro Area*
Month
S. Fam. Permits
Month
Total Permits
Permits / Peak Permits
1-Yr Growth
1-Yr Growth Rate
Unemp Rate
Median Home Price
Housing Costs / Income
JBREC Affordability Index
Alabama
 Anniston-Oxford10912025%2000.4%9.0%$85,10118%0.0
 Auburn-Opelika6621,01046%2000.4%7.6%$127,56625%0.0
 Birmingham1,5731,63721%(4,100)(0.8%)8.7%$140,83822%0.0
 Decatur17719721%(100)(0.2%)9.3%$94,69118%0.0
 Dothan27632343%(500)(0.9%)8.0%$86,23517%0.0
 Florence15819825%4000.7%8.3%$93,64719%0.0
 Gadsden12212231%1000.3%8.9%$82,51618%0.1
 Huntsville2,3062,30646%2,1001.0%7.2%$122,62018%0.1
 Mobile1,0561,62759%(1,200)(0.7%)10.0%$125,16425%1.1
 Montgomery50086533%(2,200)(1.3%)9.0%$129,93922%0.2
 Tuscaloosa37168426%1,0001.1%8.1%$120,10223%0.1
Alaska
 Anchorage4285356%1,1000.6%6.9%$178,53220%0.1
 Fairbanks42425%4001.0%6.6%$141,89918%0.1
Arizona
 Flagstaff17326119%1,3002.1%7.4%$250,00044%5.1
 Phoenix7,9508,72713%24,3001.4%8.5%$128,00019%0.9
 Prescott24242610%3000.5%9.4%$124,55923%0.0
 Tucson1,7882,36818%1000.0%8.4%$157,00028%0.8
 Yuma51451419%(100)(0.2%)26.7%$127,00026%2.8
Arkansas
 Fayetteville1,1421,29317%(2,400)(1.2%)5.9%$99,87816%0.0
 Fort Smith54372155%(1,500)(1.3%)7.8%$75,67014%0.0
 Hot Springs404011%5001.3%7.3%$107,52121%0.1
 Jonesboro47666468%3000.6%6.7%$76,58114%0.0
 Little Rock1,9163,48461%(6,000)(1.8%)6.5%$129,99220%0.7
 Pine Bluff4811428%(300)(0.8%)8.9%$66,71513%0.0
California
 Bakersfield1,1101,44616%(2,700)(1.2%)14.4%$120,00020%0.1
 Chico16843922%(1,400)(2.0%)12.8%$196,00036%3.2
 El Centro1121205%(1,200)(2.7%)29.3%$132,00028%2.0
 Fresno1,5721,89526%(3,900)(1.4%)15.7%$147,00026%0.7
 Hanford18723718%3000.8%15.0%$144,75024%3.3
 Los Angeles (D)2,5146,4339%(31,400)(0.8%)12.5%$335,00046%2.6
 Madera1101185%1000.3%14.3%$130,00023%0.3
 Merced60652%(400)(0.7%)16.3%$115,00020%0.5
 Modesto1821823%(1,000)(0.7%)16.2%$140,00021%0.3
 Monterey13129911%(1,400)(1.2%)10.4%$242,25032%0.9
 Napa12713313%(1,100)(1.8%)8.9%$311,00037%1.0
 Oakland (D)1,9843,27814%(19,300)(2.0%)11.0%$330,00034%1.9
 Orange County (D)1,5583,12213%14,2001.0%9.1%$500,00050%4.3
 Redding1672069%(500)(0.9%)14.6%$155,00028%0.1
 Riverside-San Bernardino5,5406,76912%(14,300)(1.3%)14.2%$175,00023%0.5
 Sacramento2,2072,58511%(21,800)(2.7%)12.1%$205,00027%1.0
 San Diego2,1583,4928%(1,100)(0.1%)10.2%$369,00045%3.1
 San Francisco (D)4021,08816%(13,700)(1.5%)8.9%$643,00063%2.8
 San Jose9122,33523%4,0000.5%10.7%$550,00049%3.9
 San Luis Obispo31447313%(800)(0.8%)9.4%$366,00050%3.5
 Santa Barbara28444416%(1,000)(0.6%)8.7%$307,50041%2.0
 Santa Cruz11815211%(2,100)(2.4%)10.6%$495,00058%3.3
 Santa Rosa2675249%(1,600)(0.9%)9.7%$331,75041%1.6
 Stockton83784912%(3,400)(1.8%)16.3%$161,00023%0.4
 Vallejo-Fairfield5415419%(2,500)(2.1%)11.7%$206,50024%0.8
 Ventura2045247%(4,600)(1.7%)10.5%$405,00041%3.2
 Visalia-Porterville77290825%(1,000)(0.9%)15.9%$118,00021%0.1
 Yuba-Sutter1041064%(1,700)(4.4%)17.8%$133,00022%0.0
Colorado
 Boulder25363012%3000.2%6.2%$345,00038%5.2
 Colorado Springs1,6451,65915%(2,400)(1.0%)8.8%$180,39123%0.2
 Denver3,6965,04318%(2,200)(0.2%)8.2%$222,50028%3.0
 Fort Collins45286524%7000.5%6.5%$215,00028%2.3
 Grand Junction33539519%(1,500)(2.5%)9.1%$130,00519%0.0
 Greeley80486820%1,1001.4%9.0%$148,70020%0.1
 Pueblo19822516%00.0%9.6%$82,13615%0.2
Connecticut
 Bridgeport60888317%(400)(0.1%)8.0%$400,72837%0.6
 Hartford1,2241,43513%(4,000)(0.7%)8.5%$219,94624%0.0
 New Haven 5221,11515%1,1000.4%8.9%$215,17526%0.0
 Norwich29736013%(1,500)(1.1%)8.3%$209,45325%0.0
Delaware
 Dover69182738%4000.6%8.3%$188,55232%5.7
 Wilmington (D)1,0101,22419%1000.0%8.4%$191,74227%2.2
District of Columbia
 Washington D.C. (D)7,70110,33827%32,4001.4%5.9%$299,71125%1.3
Florida
 Daytona Beach5826598%7000.5%11.9%$105,50019%0.7
 Fort Lauderdale (D)9701,1756%(3,500)(0.5%)10.1%$170,00026%0.7
 Fort Myers1,1671,2384%(800)(0.4%)12.9%$86,85014%0.2
 Gainesville38251616%8000.6%7.8%$149,51729%0.0
 Jacksonville3,5843,78015%3000.1%10.9%$146,00022%2.6
 Lakeland1,1811,30510%(400)(0.2%)12.5%$95,00017%0.1
 Melbourne1,0461,15412%(2,000)(1.0%)11.8%$100,00016%0.3
 Miami (D)9583,41713%1,9000.2%13.1%$175,00033%2.1
 Naples7501,22515%7000.7%12.2%$200,00028%0.8
 Ocala4914917%(900)(1.0%)13.8%$87,31317%0.7
 Orlando4,3295,15414%10,5001.1%11.2%$122,00020%0.1
 Panama City2233316%8001.1%10.4%$152,37725%1.9
 Pensacola1,3181,74427%9000.6%10.1%$125,22122%0.0
 Port St. Lucie4404694%00.0%13.7%$110,00018%0.4
 Punta Gorda2543908%1000.3%12.3%$99,00017%0.1
 Sarasota1,7452,19715%1,0000.4%11.8%$135,60023%0.7
 Tallahassee53497023%8000.5%8.1%$133,82223%0.0
 Tampa4,3627,01819%(1,700)(0.2%)11.8%$120,00022%1.2
 Vero Beach2933458%2000.5%14.2%$125,30023%2.3
 West Palm Beach (D)1,2401,4726%5,4001.1%11.7%$210,00032%3.9
Georgia
 Albany17725420%2000.3%10.2%$84,09518%0.0
 Athens2062229%(2,500)(3.0%)7.3%$124,02224%0.0
 Atlanta6,4747,63910%7,6000.3%9.7%$119,17316%0.0
 Augusta2,3742,44345%1,3000.6%8.6%$106,23019%0.0
 Brunswick40740732%(1,100)(2.6%)9.4%$130,88823%0.0
 Columbus7131,44064%8000.7%9.0%$98,61420%0.1
 Dalton10011110%(700)(1.1%)11.6%$91,86218%0.0
 Gainesville2152158%(100)(0.1%)8.8%$123,57920%0.1
 Hinesville20720724%1000.5%8.1%$100,03520%0.0
 Macon26626614%(2,300)(2.4%)9.8%$90,08218%0.1
 Rome54548%(500)(1.3%)9.9%$89,38418%0.1
 Savannah1,0991,46130%1,0000.7%8.3%$133,46723%1.8
 Valdosta5061,06773%(100)(0.2%)8.0%$99,26722%0.1
 Warner Robins58858828%(200)(0.3%)7.4%$90,77913%0.0
Hawaii
 Honolulu9021,88038%3,9000.9%5.5%$560,84862%3.7
Idaho
 Boise City1,7531,82516%(4,400)(1.7%)9.5%$136,24820%0.0
 Coeur D'Alene50260222%(300)(0.5%)10.1%$130,30621%0.0
 Idaho Falls32540921%(800)(1.6%)6.9%$94,76914%0.1
 Lewiston697819%(400)(1.5%)7.1%$121,09522%0.8
 Pocatello15716023%(900)(2.4%)8.0%$94,00216%0.0
Illinois
 Bloomington29141024%00.0%7.3%$156,98723%1.1
 Champaign-Urbana26954925%(200)(0.2%)8.4%$138,13426%3.3
 Chicago (D)2,7324,67611%(45,000)(1.2%)8.9%$187,00027%0.9
 Danville221%(200)(0.7%)10.9%$54,97112%0.6
 Decatur899115%(700)(1.3%)10.9%$87,06117%2.4
 Kankakee-Bradley69739%(300)(0.7%)12.0%$124,97721%4.4
 Lake-Kenosha (D)62792814%(15,400)(4.0%)9.6%$215,11726%0.9
 Peoria68276239%3000.2%9.3%$113,61919%3.8
 Rockford29830412%4000.3%14.4%$106,35619%5.1
 Springfield29638925%(700)(0.6%)7.6%$115,04318%1.1
Indiana
 Anderson738211%(900)(2.2%)10.4%$78,20215%0.1
 Bloomington24632126%(300)(0.3%)6.9%$124,63325%0.3
 Columbus12612621%00.0%8.4%$113,54218%0.1
 Elkhart-Goshen17217210%1,5001.5%12.9%$100,90417%0.0
 Evansville62373134%(400)(0.2%)8.1%$88,61816%0.1
 Fort Wayne87895226%2,3001.1%9.4%$96,08416%1.0
 Gary (D)9951,29528%(1,700)(0.6%)10.0%$121,10119%2.4
 Indianapolis3,7535,70333%6,1000.7%8.5%$121,76118%1.7
 Kokomo18182%2,1005.3%10.7%$76,95313%0.1
 Lafayette47658532%3000.3%8.0%$106,67120%0.0
 Michigan City14516928%00.0%10.6%$107,17719%0.3
 Muncie576111%2000.4%9.9%$72,66216%0.2
 South Bend24137819%(1,700)(1.3%)10.5%$82,10114%0.7
 Terre Haute15316724%(100)(0.1%)10.2%$74,79515%0.1
Iowa
 Ames11417619%3000.6%4.4%$128,30220%0.0
 Cedar Rapids6741,02750%5000.4%6.1%$141,71022%3.3
 Davenport44555637%3000.2%8.2%$109,84020%4.2
 Des Moines2,0702,65142%(2,000)(0.6%)6.2%$145,98320%0.7
 Dubuque35147054%5000.9%6.1%$114,74219%0.6
 Iowa City47559135%2000.2%4.5%$147,85622%0.1
 Sioux City25127723%(900)(1.2%)7.1%$87,91915%0.1
 Waterloo34937044%00.0%5.8%$110,51119%4.3
Kansas
 Lawrence21030816%3000.6%5.5%$138,62622%0.1
 Topeka27536927%3000.3%6.6%$103,88615%0.0
 Wichita1,1491,35230%(600)(0.2%)7.8%$118,50817%0.5
Kentucky
 Bowling Green36455240%8001.4%8.9%$103,60321%0.5
 Elizabethtown58771554%2,0004.4%8.4%$103,62720%1.2
 Lexington1,1811,34926%(3,100)(1.3%)7.6%$142,58725%2.4
 Louisville2,0632,61629%(9,800)(1.6%)9.4%$135,27825%4.8
 Owensboro27834431%4000.8%8.0%$80,04616%0.4
Louisiana
 Baton Rouge2,8602,98233%(1,000)(0.3%)8.1%$165,09230%4.8
 Houma39439333%(300)(0.3%)6.0%$110,08121%2.0
 Lafayette80187217%1,9001.3%6.6%$123,35824%0.0
 Lake Charles88399466%1,8002.0%7.5%$101,58221%0.3
 Monroe28730625%(800)(1.0%)8.5%$91,53020%0.0
 New Orleans1,8462,06016%4,7000.9%8.1%$159,66431%4.9
 Shreveport1,1191,28742%1,2000.7%7.7%$150,81433%5.4
Maine
 Bangor27431031%(300)(0.5%)6.4%$109,36221%0.1
 Lewiston-Auburn16021225%(100)(0.2%)7.0%$114,74120%0.0
 Portland1,2901,32023%(800)(0.4%)5.5%$203,56229%1.4
Maryland
 Baltimore3,5095,81230%13,7001.1%7.4%$264,90035%6.0
 Bethesda (D)1,8122,90224%11,3002.0%5.4%$384,00037%5.8
 Cumberland7413333%(1,500)(3.8%)8.3%$98,93922%3.2
 Hagerstown64270417%(700)(0.7%)9.3%$143,44123%0.0
 Salisbury18028722%3000.6%8.2%$119,85323%0.1
Massachusetts
 Barnstable Town4054309%(2,000)(2.0%)7.5%$318,62639%0.5
 Boston (D)1,1362,96628%13,2000.8%6.7%$341,09137%2.1
 Cambridge (D)1,3881,84525%24,8001.0%7.0%$367,47034%0.4
 Pittsfield11616318%2000.6%7.5%$175,12127%0.0
 Springfield52363513%(9,300)(3.2%)8.6%$183,77826%0.3
 Worcester1,2693,26544%(3,600)(1.5%)8.3%$226,45725%0.7
Michigan
 Ann Arbor30737113%00.0%7.8%$153,37220%0.0
 Battle Creek40406%(900)(1.6%)10.5%$77,16615%0.1
 Bay City34348%(500)(1.4%)10.9%$74,31713%0.0
 Detroit (D)41861910%(8,800)(1.3%)14.4%$84,59116%0.0
 Flint90923%2000.1%13.0%$70,60313%0.0
 Grand Rapids88091018%8000.2%10.0%$87,55714%0.3
 Holland39843516%(4,100)(3.9%)10.6%$126,78818%0.1
 Jackson73737%(500)(0.9%)11.9%$86,91316%0.1
 Kalamazoo34535815%(1,800)(1.3%)10.0%$106,41419%0.0
 Lansing36436912%(600)(0.3%)9.2%$83,44714%0.6
 Monroe11511910%(1,500)(3.9%)11.5%$109,92715%0.0
 Muskegon759910%(400)(0.7%)12.8%$79,08516%0.1
 Niles12412415%(600)(1.0%)11.8%$107,89120%0.1
 Saginaw9510711%1000.1%11.1%$50,5289%0.8
 Warren (D)1,8582,24211%(23,800)(2.3%)12.6%$137,75318%0.0
Minnesota
 Duluth37345026%1,8001.4%6.9%$104,26120%4.7
 Minneapolis3,9385,82021%21,3001.3%6.5%$170,88123%1.4
 Rochester36252826%2,0001.9%5.3%$123,14917%0.1
 St. Cloud33740120%(200)(0.2%)6.1%$119,77121%1.7
Mississippi
 Gulfport-Biloxi1,2341,56729%(2,700)(2.5%)8.6%$128,07628%4.4
 Hattiesburg63636%1,4002.4%8.1%$90,33321%0.1
 Jackson1,3361,42432%3000.1%7.9%$130,45826%3.2
 Pascagoula38846130%(700)(1.2%)9.3%$98,43418%0.1
Missouri
 Columbia52856224%4000.4%6.0%$143,60027%1.5
 Jefferson City22435131%00.0%6.8%$107,61719%0.9
 Joplin16519226%8001.0%8.1%$81,36519%0.1
 Kansas City2,0273,15917%(14,800)(1.5%)8.5%$145,08021%1.7
 Springfield9181,42628%2,5001.3%8.0%$110,16822%0.2
 St. Joseph8913431%2,5004.2%7.6%$86,54418%0.7
 St. Louis4,2945,86432%1,7000.1%9.3%$125,73121%1.1
Montana
 Billings33946332%(1,800)(2.2%)5.1%$112,72318%0.1
 Great Falls15917956%(800)(2.2%)5.7%$96,69818%0.0
 Missoula18832729%(200)(0.4%)6.6%$156,23028%0.1
Nebraska
 Lincoln74979129%2000.1%3.8%$133,34818%0.0
 Omaha2,4552,96145%(1,600)(0.3%)4.9%$136,92518%0.0
Nevada
 Carson City14325%(500)(1.7%)12.5%$134,27119%0.0
 Las Vegas4,7045,42714%(25,100)(3.1%)14.1%$132,00018%0.0
 Reno51064410%(5,400)(2.8%)12.8%$173,00024%0.1
New Hampshire
 Manchester3806659%1,3001.3%5.0%$236,13822%0.1
New Jersey
 Atlantic City41750413%00.0%11.5%$219,76929%3.6
 Camden (D)1,2562,17226%(9,700)(1.9%)9.2%$193,11921%0.0
 Edison (D)2,8384,53219%(13,500)(1.4%)8.1%$313,61729%2.7
 Newark-Union (D)1,4592,55828%(10,800)(1.1%)8.7%$353,98134%1.0
 Ocean City27444418%(900)(2.2%)10.4%$224,31231%1.6
 Trenton18256816%(4,300)(1.8%)7.4%$253,43226%1.9
 Vineland22526736%(700)(1.2%)11.9%$122,82218%0.0
New Mexico
 Albuquerque1,5771,74320%(6,100)(1.6%)8.9%$205,66835%4.9
 Farmington20629250%(400)(0.8%)9.1%$180,20333%4.5
 Las Cruces82297339%2,0002.9%7.8%$99,83622%0.1
 Santa Fe99998%(100)(0.2%)7.0%$203,31530%0.1
New York
 Albany1,1861,27724%(1,900)(0.4%)6.7%$194,79928%3.6
 Binghamton14419415%(200)(0.2%)7.6%$107,82120%2.7
 Buffalo1,1151,66036%1,2000.2%7.5%$115,34721%2.4
 Elmira306221%5001.3%7.7%$92,53018%2.3
 Glens Falls28031620%3000.5%7.0%$148,12126%2.9
 Ithaca8711117%7001.1%5.5%$145,29626%1.3
 Kingston16027119%4000.7%7.4%$196,05628%1.2
 Nassau (D)1,3381,54914%5,7000.5%6.9%$370,78134%3.8
 New York (D)1,4529,13522%6,8000.1%8.9%$424,22457%3.3
 Poughkeepsie8961,50029%(1,000)(0.4%)7.5%$205,78224%0.0
 Rochester1,1811,30925%5000.1%7.3%$117,72419%2.1
 Syracuse8151,06831%2000.1%7.6%$118,78321%3.0
 Utica-Rome22832324%(800)(0.6%)7.1%$105,72620%1.8
North Carolina
 Asheville1,0612,07548%2,4001.5%7.4%$160,57831%2.4
 Burlington47888244%3000.5%9.7%$103,85219%0.0
 Charlotte4,8465,83323%5,6000.7%10.2%$174,30025%2.7
 Durham1,5042,07532%4,6001.6%6.6%$189,00031%1.1
 Fayetteville1,7223,40179%(800)(0.6%)8.6%$103,85619%0.0
 Goldsboro26526538%(400)(0.9%)7.9%$96,29819%0.0
 Greensboro1,3482,02832%(600)(0.2%)9.7%$129,40524%0.0
 Greenville39155121%(900)(1.2%)9.0%$100,60321%0.0
 Hickory41847219%(2,000)(1.4%)11.7%$101,79921%0.0
 Jacksonville2,1032,409100%6001.3%7.3%$127,07823%0.0
 Raleigh-Cary4,8335,38630%(300)(0.1%)7.6%$196,60027%2.4
 Rocky Mount21822422%(600)(1.0%)12.1%$86,81618%0.0
 Wilmington1,5941,84620%(1,400)(1.0%)9.0%$207,40037%4.5
 Winston-Salem9611,25328%(1,200)(0.6%)8.7%$116,18121%0.0
North Dakota
 Bismarck56961356%3000.5%2.7%$160,77820%1.9
 Fargo7591,40350%4000.3%3.2%$141,47921%0.1
 Grand Forks15125538%5000.9%3.2%$118,41819%0.0
Ohio
 Akron66973318%(3,700)(1.2%)9.3%$122,00020%2.4
 Canton30834622%00.0%10.6%$95,22318%1.7
 Cincinnati2,9273,23921%5,7000.6%9.3%$120,95517%0.0
 Cleveland1,9342,00325%9,8001.0%8.6%$106,48617%1.3
 Columbus2,9214,80828%(7,600)(0.8%)8.4%$134,50019%1.0
 Dayton68381120%(2,400)(0.6%)10.4%$100,08317%0.9
 Lima438216%(400)(0.8%)10.1%$87,01016%0.1
 Mansfield487012%1,4002.6%10.9%$85,60217%0.6
 Sandusky43478%1,0002.7%9.3%$106,89717%0.1
 Springfield54589%(100)(0.2%)10.2%$85,71915%0.0
 Toledo57293523%(2,400)(0.8%)10.5%$80,56014%0.4
 Youngstown37640621%(1,800)(0.8%)10.8%$70,56814%1.3
Oklahoma
 Lawton32444541%8001.8%6.6%$91,90116%0.5
 Oklahoma City3,0843,77717%7,0001.3%6.4%$140,00620%0.9
 Tulsa2,3392,62522%(800)(0.2%)7.7%$131,13520%0.0
Oregon
 Bend3513638%(1,600)(2.6%)13.4%$134,33219%0.0
 Corvallis708811%(700)(1.9%)6.7%$181,38126%0.0
 Eugene47465324%(100)(0.1%)10.1%$200,27834%5.0
 Medford27636117%1000.1%11.2%$143,65026%0.0
 Portland3,4474,33022%(8,100)(0.8%)9.7%$227,25031%4.5
 Salem51194728%(2,400)(1.6%)9.8%$155,00025%2.6
Pennsylvania
 Allentown1,1511,33525%1,1000.3%9.1%$214,94225%2.3
 Altoona737515%1,1001.8%7.2%$92,72415%0.0
 Erie37355455%1,3001.0%8.7%$104,98318%1.0
 Harrisburg1,3141,52341%(2,400)(0.7%)7.7%$139,49118%0.0
 Johnstown666618%(100)(0.2%)9.0%$77,25918%1.8
 Lancaster1,2141,44340%1,0000.4%7.2%$161,18322%1.0
 Lebanon26126131%2000.4%7.1%$134,13019%0.5
 Philadelphia (D)3,2454,41625%1,0000.1%8.7%$215,14124%2.2
 Pittsburgh3,0143,36048%6,5000.6%7.6%$122,33218%0.3
 Reading34635216%3000.2%8.9%$154,73721%3.5
 Scranton70173534%(100)0.0%9.4%$116,06119%0.0
 State College25337934%(700)(0.9%)5.6%$154,16724%0.1
 Williamsport13514527%8001.5%8.3%$107,10918%0.1
 York1,1091,23639%1,5000.9%8.8%$145,11919%0.3
Rhode Island
 Providence1,2941,51713%(7,000)(1.3%)11.0%$209,01929%0.0
South Carolina
 Anderson28542122%(700)(1.2%)10.6%$93,43918%0.1
 Charleston2,7493,04428%5,3001.9%8.8%$217,45235%4.9
 Columbia2,6453,02837%(200)(0.1%)8.7%$130,00022%2.7
 Florence30037429%2,0002.4%10.8%$111,48123%1.3
 Greenville1,4611,59629%2,3000.8%9.0%$141,20026%5.2
 Myrtle Beach1,4021,58313%5,2004.6%10.6%$142,65128%0.1
 Spartanburg59359322%00.0%10.4%$116,71422%1.6
 Sumter30436840%(200)(0.6%)11.8%$93,15520%0.0
South Dakota
 Rapid City44765147%5000.8%4.2%$119,59519%0.1
 Sioux Falls8971,28951%2000.1%4.2%$137,85618%0.3
Tennessee
 Chattanooga9761,08628%3,4001.5%8.2%$120,75724%0.2
 Clarksville1,1551,68753%9001.1%9.2%$97,72419%0.2
 Cleveland26455659%2000.5%8.8%$102,04123%0.0
 Jackson26226223%(100)(0.2%)9.4%$82,65918%0.1
 Johnson City46567147%(300)(0.4%)8.3%$109,75127%0.6
 Kingsport50558638%9000.8%8.1%$106,25825%0.4
 Knoxville1,5302,48138%1,4000.4%7.3%$136,28828%1.3
 Memphis1,7472,59924%(8,100)(1.4%)9.5%$116,23423%1.5
 Morristown22523331%(200)(0.4%)10.6%$95,89622%0.1
 Nashville3,9935,13528%(3,100)(0.4%)8.3%$149,95026%3.9
Texas
 Abilene28340119%3000.5%6.3%$113,80023%5.0
 Amarillo59461117%1,9001.7%5.4%$125,50022%3.7
 Austin6,2107,20527%18,2002.4%6.8%$195,00027%4.4
 Beaumont1,3411,48352%2,1001.3%10.4%$138,50026%5.3
 Brownsville1,0531,10228%2,4001.9%11.1%$138,50037%6.0
 College Station80392626%1,8001.8%5.9%$138,50028%2.2
 Corpus Christi1,0081,13318%2,0001.1%7.9%$134,20026%4.3
 Dallas (D)10,79614,17619%16,6000.8%8.0%$156,00022%1.3
 El Paso2,8114,46069%(1,700)(0.6%)9.9%$134,40031%5.0
 Fort Worth (D)5,0245,79115%8,2001.0%7.9%$135,75620%1.3
 Houston22,87528,63038%6,2000.2%8.2%$148,90022%2.6
 Killeen1,9282,26350%2,2001.7%7.6%$121,42621%2.5
 Laredo63873431%1,2001.4%8.1%$83,00519%0.0
 Longview23334322%1,7001.8%7.1%$128,60024%4.2
 Lubbock7391,23830%(300)(0.2%)5.9%$114,10022%0.6
 McAllen2,7403,30336%4,3002.0%11.3%$97,00025%0.3
 Midland39439410%1,0001.5%5.1%$124,20420%2.7
 Odessa26170133%1,2002.1%7.4%$113,00021%2.2
 San Angelo19519513%5001.1%6.3%$109,20022%3.7
 San Antonio5,3486,37929%5,7000.7%7.3%$148,70026%4.5
 Sherman90959%6001.4%8.1%$95,00017%2.9
 Texarkana8620725%1,1002.0%7.1%$78,85415%0.0
 Tyler1582177%1,5001.6%7.6%$136,00022%0.6
 Victoria1111116%7001.5%7.3%$118,60021%1.9
 Waco43758320%1,9001.8%6.9%$127,10026%3.8
 Wichita Falls16920323%9001.6%7.2%$100,70019%1.9
Utah
 Logan43171551%3000.6%5.4%$120,90819%0.1
 Ogden-Clearfield1,4511,60331%(1,300)(0.7%)7.4%$127,34816%0.0
 Provo-Orem1,5421,99231%(1,000)(0.6%)7.3%$131,41816%0.0
 Salt Lake City1,9222,70522%(7,500)(1.2%)7.3%$197,54924%2.4
 St. George89191424%(1,700)(3.6%)9.5%$120,19918%0.0
Virginia
 Charlottesville6441,50657%8000.8%5.4%$197,82924%0.0
 Danville8312324%(500)(1.3%)10.6%$84,64020%0.1
 Harrisonburg37044334%1,4002.2%6.1%$157,76823%0.0
 Lynchburg68183846%(3,700)(3.5%)7.4%$129,79221%0.1
 Richmond2,6523,84234%(3,100)(0.5%)7.4%$185,00026%1.3
 Roanoke43646824%00.0%6.9%$133,46721%0.1
 Virginia Beach3,4134,64720%10,2001.4%7.0%$198,23328%2.7
 Winchester32532718%(700)(1.3%)7.0%$132,65619%0.0
Washington
 Bellingham42044317%2000.3%7.3%$193,73235%3.8
 Bremerton47848519%6000.7%6.8%$249,86035%5.5
 Kennewick1,7381,74253%4,7004.8%5.9%$170,72528%5.1
 Longview11713219%(300)(0.8%)11.0%$134,99025%1.7
 Mount Vernon23924822%(400)(0.9%)9.0%$170,29628%0.2
 Olympia1,0141,14636%(100)(0.1%)7.1%$222,00032%5.7
 Seattle (D)4,4317,45127%10,7000.8%8.8%$341,00043%5.7
 Spokane1,0631,47734%(3,600)(1.7%)7.9%$160,95029%5.1
 Tacoma (D)1,6381,77926%(1,800)(0.7%)8.6%$211,90030%3.5
 Wenatchee35536933%(700)(1.8%)6.3%$171,77331%1.0
 Yakima43051242%9001.1%6.9%$149,02228%3.2
West Virginia
 Charleston30932839%3000.2%7.9%$125,83927%3.2
 Huntington10419331%2000.2%8.3%$85,20820%0.7
 Morgantown267629%2000.3%6.0%$116,31824%0.1
 Parkersburg11615936%1,1001.6%8.4%$85,44618%0.1
 Wheeling20207%7001.0%9.2%$73,45717%0.2
Wisconsin
 Appleton40859527%9000.8%6.4%$120,25718%2.0
 Eau Claire30038427%3000.4%6.0%$110,51419%1.4
 Fond Du Lac15435658%5001.1%6.7%$114,97619%1.0
 Green Bay7632,08567%1,9001.2%6.7%$132,43822%1.3
 Janesville15015412%(100)(0.2%)9.5%$108,23019%1.8
 La Crosse24525530%5000.7%5.5%$117,69021%2.1
 Madison8071,42623%1,6000.5%5.2%$208,93630%3.9
 Milwaukee9711,77921%(8,600)(1.1%)7.7%$203,35833%5.2
 Oshkosh-Neenah29649834%6000.7%6.3%$109,93818%0.1
 Racine18119115%(400)(0.5%)8.5%$131,59721%3.0
 Sheboygan59679%4000.7%7.2%$122,28921%3.0
 Wausau29831322%3000.4%7.2%$113,58918%0.9
Wyoming
 Casper288795100%1000.3%6.7%$105,80317%0.0
 Cheyenne23127331%(1,000)(2.3%)6.9%$113,22416%0.1
 
* The government defines metro areas and includes metro divisions within some areas. In these instances, we report at the more detailed division level, because that is what most of our clients use for decision making. For example, we report on the Los Angeles and Orange County divisions separately, rather than the Los Angeles MSA, which includes both Los Angeles and Orange counties. We also use the more colloquial names used by business people, so we refer to the "Santa Ana-Anaheim-Irvine" division as "Orange County." For the government definitions, visit: http://www.census.gov/population/www/metroareas/lists/2007/List1.txt