Building Market Intelligence

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Big Variety in the 6 Southern California Markets

Our outlook for this year varies dramatically by market and price point. At a high level, there are three major markets on the upswing, one is holding its own, and two are showing signs of slowing. Markets on the Upswing: …

The Midwest Price Gap: Existing Home Median Price vs. New Home Median Price

As we tour housing markets across the Midwest, the topic at the forefront of discussion is the price gap between new homes and existing homes. This gap has widened in every major market across the Midwest since the beginning of …

2015 Mid-Atlantic Sales Disappoint

In early November, 10 residential homebuilding executives in the mid-Atlantic area shared their thoughts on the state of their local markets based on sales performance in the third quarter. Albeit a small sample, the responses provide some insight into the …

Loan Limits Stifling New Home Sales in California and Arizona

The pool of qualified new home buyers appears to be running thin in California. The median new home price now: far exceeds the current GSE and FHA loan limits in Orange County, San Jose, the San Francisco East Bay, and …

Chicago: Lessons from the Most Beat-Up Market in the Country

For years, our thesis has been that the national downturn and recovery (in blue below) will play out similarly to the mid-1980s downturn in Houston (in orange below) and the early-1990s downturn in Southern California (in green below) because both …

Housing Market Fall Classic

“Never let the fear of striking out get in your way” – Babe Ruth October is here: the leaves are changing, jack-o-lanterns are carved, and builders are preparing to hit year-end sales goals. October, of course, is also home to …

Closer In or Farther Out?

It’s no secret that home prices in better-located Southern California markets (closer to the coast, jobs, and good schools) have held up better than prices in inferior locations (those farther inland with longer commutes and not necessarily great schools). But …

Future Growth in Southwest Florida: Outwards and Upwards

Southwest Florida remains a retiree mecca, but rapid job and population growth is increasing family-buyer demand. Affordability is a concern; the median existing home prices in Naples hit $345,000, surpassing 2008 levels, and Fort Myers has had double-digit price appreciation …

Focus on the Mortgage Payment to Sell More Homes

Thanks to low mortgage rates, the monthly costs of homeownership in the Washington, DC MSA are among the lowest in the last three decades. If rates rise, as the bond market seems to suggest will happen, and prices and incomes …

California’s Housing Costs to Income Ratios

California has always been expensive, and it is getting even more expensive as buyers from all over the world flock to the Golden State. Even considering today’s low mortgage rates, the ratio of monthly housing costs (which include mortgage, PMI, …