Building Market Intelligence

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Only a Few Bubble Signs Brewing

Once again, we have completed our annual housing bubble check-in. Assessing the criteria that 73 industry executives identified in 2013, we found three qualitative signs of a bubble, two signs of a mini-bubble, and five signs of no bubble. Click …

Shifting Family Structure Hurting Homeownership

When researching our new book Big Shifts Ahead, we learned that 40% of all kids are born to an unmarried mom, and 32% of all kids live with only one parent.  Single-parenting has been on the rise for decades.  The …

21 Thought Leadership Pieces

During the last half of 2016, our team wrote 21 thought leadership reports on industry issues. We compiled these reports, which we call our Building Market Intelligence™ series, in an e-magazine you can view by clicking on the graphic below. …

Wall Street Has It Wrong: Luxury Home Sales Increasing

Luxury home sales have increased, contrary to the opinions of most Wall Street analysts and press reports. Here are the facts: Sales of homes priced above $600,000 have risen in 37 of the 43 counties where we purchased the data. …

Our Clients Say Good Times Will Continue

We held our semiannual client conference in New York last Wednesday, the day after the election. I have never seen the city as quiet as it was Wednesday morning (presumably because everyone had stayed up so late)—or as noisy as …

Is My Uber Driver Holding Back the Housing Market?

Why are so many young adults today willing to make perhaps the biggest commitment of all—having a child together—before getting married? Does this recent societal shift tell us anything about young adults’ willingness to commit to a 30-year mortgage? I …

Building Single-Family Homes for Rent

Building single-family rental home neighborhoods seems like a great idea, until you run the math. Almost 12% of all households in the country now rent a single-family home. Certainly, a portion of these renters will pay a rental premium for …

Competition Mounting as Community Counts Up 6%

Strong housing markets attract competition. Home builder competition in the 33 largest markets in the country has increased 6% over the last year to 8,336 new home communities. These communities represent about 40% of US new home sales. The increases …

The Foreclosure Generation: From 4% above Norm to 7% below Norm Homeownership

Those born in the 1970s have fallen from having a 4% higher than normal homeownership rate in 2004 to a 7% lower than normal homeownership rate today. The housing crisis hit the 1970s Balancers harder than any other generation. We …

Declining Rural Life, Despite Technology Improvements

Only half as many households as normal choose to live in rural areas these days. Using our definitions*, only 8% of household growth occurred in rural areas over the last five years, compared to the usual 17% of growth over …