Building Market Intelligence

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Rising Rates Should Have Minimal Impact on Housing

Twitter: @RickPalaciosJr Mortgage rates have risen 1.0% or more ten times in the last 43 years, with little impact on home sales and prices when the economy was also strong. Here is the paper we shared with our clients a …

5 Haunting Housing Charts

We publish thousands (yes, thousands) of housing-related charts monthly. On the bright side, most of these charts signal continued growth for housing and the overall economy. However, some charts are a bit frightening. In honor of Halloween, here are our …

8 Big Housing Changes Thanks to Driverless Cars

The combination of widespread ride-sharing and self-driving cars will reshape housing in 8 significant ways: Prime real estate will be unlocked for new home construction (parking lots, auto dealerships, gas stations). Outlying drive-until-you-qualify housing markets will eventually reemerge once the …

Permanent Tech Disruptions to Home Sales

rpalacios@realestateconsulting.com | (949) 870-1244 Twitter: @RickPalaciosJr Technology has permanently taken two months off the time required to sell a home. New real estate technologies empower: A new group of highly informed, quick-close, all-cash buyers Very informed homeowners who are increasingly …

Housing’s Got a Spring in Its Step This Year

Three months into 2017, it is clear to us that home builders have started the year off on a much better foot than 2016. Based on our monthly survey of over 300 home builders across the country, new home sales …

Our 2016 Track Record

rpalacios@realestateconsulting.com | (949) 870-1244 Twitter: @RickPalaciosJr Click here to watch our video recap of our 2016 forecasts   With a lot of insight from our clients and survey participants who build and finance a large percentage of the homes built …

The Housing Cycle: Market by Market

Where are we in the housing cycle? This, by far, is the question we get asked the most. It’s often framed with the metaphor of a nine-inning baseball game: What inning are we in? This question implies that markets move …

For Rent Beating For Sale

The stock market has changed its tune from being bullish on for-sale housing to being bullish on rental housing. Apartment stocks are up 35% YTD, and single-family rental stocks are up 5%—while the home builders are flat. While survey after …

Why Frame Walls When You Can Frack Wells?

In late 2008, oil and gas pipeline construction workers earned $0.46 per hour more than new home framing contractors. Today, they earn $8.15 more per hour. It’s no wonder labor is tight in the new home market, especially in Texas …

Student Loans Will Cost the Industry $83 Billion this Year

8% fewer homes will transact than normal in 2014, purely due to student debt. This week, our clients received a 30-page paper that assesses the impact of student loans on home buying for households under the age of 40. Our …