National Housing Market Intelligence

Here you will find all of our articles with topics that cover the national housing market.

End the Guesswork

by John Burns May 30, 2018

Here is a link to the 30-minute investor-oriented Housing Market Outlook webinar I recently presented for Bloomberg’s 300,000+ subscribers. You can also access the webinar slides here. For our clients who have a Bloomberg terminal, we post our research on …

John Burns Kickstarts Our Podcast

by John Burns & Dean Wehrli May 16, 2018

Consulting Leader Dean Wehrli volunteered to host our new podcast. You never know what to expect from Dean. Click here to subscribe to future episodes. On our first podcast, Dean talks with the guy with his name on the logo. …

California Has Density Solutions, but Not Enough New Housing

by John Burns Real Estate Consulting April 3, 2018

The big three housing markets—Texas, Florida, and California—all easily topped 100,000 building permits in 2017. Combined, they account for almost one of every three new homes permitted for construction in the US last year. Only one other state (North Carolina …

The Seven Sizzling Housing Markets

by John Burns Real Estate Consulting March 14, 2018

Seven markets are sizzling with new home construction today. We rank these markets based on our Burns Housing Market Hotness Index (see graph below and index description at the bottom), which encompasses fundamental supply/demand factors and our market strength ratings. …

Wrong Again—New Home Sales Actually Rose in January

by Rick Palacios Jr February 28, 2018

Twitter: @RickPalaciosJr I suppose we should thank the Census Bureau for publishing incorrect conclusions and footnoting a 19%+/- margin of error. However, it gives our clients heartburn. Our clients pay us to be right—not to be overly bullish or bearish. …

Surveys Confirm Little Impact from Rising Rates

by John Burns February 22, 2018

  CNBC did a 95-second clip on rising mortgage rates, including an interesting survey from Redfin about what would happen if mortgage rates rose to 5%. Redfin’s survey of 4000 home buyers concluded that: 6% of buyers would not purchase …

Rising Rates Should Have Minimal Impact on Housing

by Rick Palacios Jr February 9, 2018

Twitter: @RickPalaciosJr Mortgage rates have risen 1.0% or more ten times in the last 43 years, with little impact on home sales and prices when the economy was also strong. Here is the paper we shared with our clients a …

Five Minutes at the Builders’ Show

by John Burns January 31, 2018

Adam Grubb of Professional Builder gave me five minutes to summarize our forecast. Click on video above to view 2018 Forecast We have the most bullish 2018 price and volume forecast of those we track, and we are increasing our …

Cost Increases Top 2017 Housing Market Surprises

by Jody Kahn December 28, 2017

Over 300 home building executives told us their biggest surprises of 2017. Although they anticipated cost increases, 40% told us that the extent of those increases surprised them the most. Stronger than expected demand (especially in the last few months) …

Where Are We in the Housing Cycle?

by Danielle Nguyen & John Burns Real Estate Consulting December 20, 2017

Ten years ago today, our company published Strategies to Navigate 5 Stages of the Housing Cycle and followed that up with a 7-minute educational cartoon on the housing market. To commemorate the 10-year anniversary of those analyses, we are sharing the graphic …