National Housing Market Intelligence

Here you will find all of our articles with topics that cover the national housing market.

Surveys Confirm Little Impact from Rising Rates

  CNBC did a 95-second clip on rising mortgage rates, including an interesting survey from Redfin about what would happen if mortgage rates rose to 5%. Redfin’s survey of 4000 home buyers concluded that: 6% of buyers would not purchase …

Rising Rates Should Have Minimal Impact on Housing

Twitter: @RickPalaciosJr Mortgage rates have risen 1.0% or more ten times in the last 43 years, with little impact on home sales and prices when the economy was also strong. Here is the paper we shared with our clients a …

Five Minutes at the Builders’ Show

Adam Grubb of Professional Builder gave me five minutes to summarize our forecast. Click on video above to view 2018 Forecast We have the most bullish 2018 price and volume forecast of those we track, and we are increasing our …

Cost Increases Top 2017 Housing Market Surprises

Over 300 home building executives told us their biggest surprises of 2017. Although they anticipated cost increases, 40% told us that the extent of those increases surprised them the most. Stronger than expected demand (especially in the last few months) …

Where Are We in the Housing Cycle?

Ten years ago today, our company published Strategies to Navigate 5 Stages of the Housing Cycle and followed that up with a 7-minute educational cartoon on the housing market. To commemorate the 10-year anniversary of those analyses, we are sharing the graphic …

Surging Home Buying vs. Quality Home Renting

It never ceases to amaze me how great interviewers can extract so much information in only two minutes. Here are the highlights of what I shared on CNBC earlier this week: . . Surging home sales. “Something happened in the middle …

5 Haunting Housing Charts

We publish thousands (yes, thousands) of housing-related charts monthly. On the bright side, most of these charts signal continued growth for housing and the overall economy. However, some charts are a bit frightening. In honor of Halloween, here are our …

8 Big Housing Changes Thanks to Driverless Cars

The combination of widespread ride-sharing and self-driving cars will reshape housing in 8 significant ways: Prime real estate will be unlocked for new home construction (parking lots, auto dealerships, gas stations). Outlying drive-until-you-qualify housing markets will eventually reemerge once the …

Falling Homeownership

Today’s 63.7% US homeownership rate* (down from 69.1% 12 years ago) is propped up by a very high homeownership rate for those aged 65+ who bought their homes many years ago. They benefited from a strong economy, more affordable housing …

Finally…Resale Price Creep

As the housing market crashed a decade ago, new home prices began to push above resale prices. Then they pushed and pushed and pushed some more. A pricing crack became a pricing canyon. Long term, the new home median price …