Our headline is certainly a positive way of saying that we think a 12% unemployment rate (in 2011) is the most likely scenario. What matters to housing is that 88% of people will still be gainfully employed, and will probably have had the chance of a lifetime to buy a very inexpensive home while mortgage rates are low. Riverside-San Bernardino unemployment has already risen from 5.7% in 2005 to 11.8% today.
We have estimated the unemployment rate – the U-3 series that is reported in the newspapers rather than the U-6 series that we recently covered – using our job growth/loss projections and a lower-than-usual growth rate (compared to prior recessions) in the adult population looking for work. One often-overlooked fact is that unemployment will rise as long as the economy is growing at less than the rate of adults employed or looking for work, which has averaged 1.6% per year since 1948 and 1.2% since 1990, but usually grows at a much slower rate during a recession.
The unemployment rate is higher than one year ago in 371 of the 372 metro areas (and unchanged in Waterloo-Cedar Falls, Iowa) according to the recently revised data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Over a longer time period, the rise in unemployment has been astonishing in some markets, and much more moderate in others (namely Texas). The change in the unemployment rate from 2005 to 2009 for a number of major U.S. metros is shown below.
| Unemployment Rate | |||
| Metro Area | Jan-05 | Jan-09 | Change |
| Riverside-San Bernardino, CA | 5.7% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Las Vegas, NV | 4.4% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Tampa, FL | 4.4% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Charlotte, NC-SC | 5.6% | 10.5% | 4.9% |
| Sacramento, CA | 5.5% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Orlando, FL | 4.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Detroit, MI | 9.4% | 14.2% | 4.8% |
| Los Angeles, CA (MDiv) | 6.1% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Oakland, CA (MDiv) | 5.4% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Atlanta, GA | 5.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Raleigh-Cary, NC | 4.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Portland, OR | 6.5% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Nashville, TN | 5.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| St. Louis, MO | 6.4% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Indianapolis, IN | 5.4% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| San Francisco, CA (MDiv) | 4.9% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Phoenix, AZ | 4.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Boston, MA (MDiv) | 4.7% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Seattle, WA (MDiv) | 5.0% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Miami, FL | 4.8% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Washington, D.C. (MDiv) | 3.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Philadelphia, PA | 5.4% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Chicago, IL (MDiv) | 6.5% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Denver, CO | 5.8% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| New York, NY-NJ (MDiv) | 5.8% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Austin, TX | 5.0% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Dallas, TX (MDiv) | 5.8% | 7.1% | 1.3% |
| Fort Worth, TX (MDiv) | 5.8% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| San Antonio, TX | 5.6% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Houston, TX | 6.0% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
This is the most current available data for all variables and markets.
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| Alabama | ||||||||||
| Anniston-Oxford | 169 | 185 | 39% | (1,200) | (2.3%) | 7.9% | $88,937 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Auburn-Opelika | 712 | 844 | 38% | (700) | (1.3%) | 7.0% | $135,294 | 27% | 0.0 | |
| Birmingham | 2,315 | 3,293 | 42% | (14,800) | (2.8%) | 7.4% | $150,725 | 25% | 0.0 | |
| Decatur | 195 | 207 | 22% | (2,500) | (4.3%) | 8.6% | $98,513 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Dothan | 366 | 366 | 49% | (1,200) | (1.9%) | 7.2% | $93,219 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Florence | 188 | 325 | 42% | (900) | (1.6%) | 8.7% | $98,045 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Huntsville | 2,125 | 2,916 | 58% | (2,700) | (1.3%) | 6.0% | $123,837 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Mobile | 1,347 | 2,293 | 82% | (800) | (0.4%) | 7.8% | $131,595 | 26% | 2.1 | |
| Montgomery | 587 | 624 | 24% | (4,800) | (2.7%) | 8.0% | $127,042 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| Tuscaloosa | 508 | 1,174 | 45% | (3,200) | (3.3%) | 10.0% | $122,785 | 25% | 0.0 | |
| Alaska | ||||||||||
| Anchorage | 267 | 452 | 5% | 3,900 | 2.4% | 7.7% | $199,085 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| Arizona | ||||||||||
| Flagstaff | 242 | 248 | 18% | (700) | (1.1%) | 7.0% | $194,358 | 35% | 2.4 | |
| Phoenix | 11,888 | 17,287 | 25% | (126,700) | (6.7%) | 6.7% | $130,000 | 20% | 0.1 | |
| Prescott | 604 | 770 | 17% | (5,300) | (8.5%) | 8.4% | $167,484 | 33% | 0.0 | |
| Tucson | 2,531 | 2,810 | 22% | (9,700) | (2.6%) | 6.5% | $165,000 | 30% | 1.6 | |
| Yuma | 854 | 859 | 32% | (5,000) | (8.9%) | 15.4% | $168,500 | 36% | 5.4 | |
| Arkansas | ||||||||||
| Fayetteville | 1,209 | 3,012 | 40% | (1,500) | (0.7%) | 5.8% | $109,603 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Fort Smith | 477 | 709 | 54% | (1,500) | (1.2%) | 7.7% | $78,668 | 14% | 0.0 | |
| Little Rock | 1,787 | 3,012 | 52% | (5,500) | (1.6%) | 5.9% | $124,480 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| California | ||||||||||
| Bakersfield | 1,636 | 2,615 | 30% | (1,400) | (0.6%) | 13.8% | $129,000 | 24% | 0.8 | |
| Chico | 526 | 582 | 29% | (1,500) | (2.0%) | 12.6% | $195,500 | 38% | 2.6 | |
| El Centro | 193 | 242 | 11% | (100) | (0.2%) | 24.2% | $139,500 | 30% | 1.1 | |
| Fresno | 2,259 | 2,666 | 36% | (5,200) | (1.7%) | 15.7% | $135,500 | 25% | 0.2 | |
| Hanford | 204 | 341 | 25% | 200 | 0.6% | 15.6% | $125,000 | 23% | 1.3 | |
| Los Angeles | 3,013 | 11,567 | 17% | (111,000) | (2.7%) | 10.8% | $296,000 | 45% | 1.5 | |
| Madera | 231 | 238 | 11% | 0 | 0.0% | 13.1% | $155,000 | 32% | 4.0 | |
| Merced | 211 | 316 | 9% | (1,300) | (2.3%) | 18.9% | $115,000 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| Modesto | 413 | 512 | 8% | (3,600) | (2.3%) | 16.0% | $138,000 | 23% | 0.0 | |
| Monterey | 249 | 491 | 17% | (800) | (0.6%) | 15.9% | $213,000 | 31% | 0.0 | |
| Napa | 224 | 228 | 23% | (3,100) | (4.9%) | 8.5% | $370,000 | 45% | 3.1 | |
| Oakland | 1,718 | 3,620 | 16% | (37,800) | (3.7%) | 9.2% | $250,000 | 29% | 0.0 | |
| Orange County | 1,260 | 3,389 | 14% | (64,600) | (4.3%) | 7.5% | $420,000 | 46% | 2.8 | |
| Redding | 367 | 460 | 19% | (1,800) | (2.9%) | 15.2% | $195,000 | 36% | 3.7 | |
| Riverside-San Bernardino | 5,536 | 8,839 | 15% | (76,100) | (6.1%) | 11.8% | $175,000 | 26% | 0.9 | |
| Sacramento | 3,805 | 5,386 | 23% | (35,800) | (4.0%) | 10.4% | $185,000 | 25% | 0.0 | |
| San Diego | 2,050 | 4,909 | 11% | (28,000) | (2.2%) | 8.6% | $320,000 | 42% | 1.4 | |
| San Francisco | 585 | 2,912 | 43% | (20,700) | (2.1%) | 7.5% | $558,500 | 61% | 2.0 | |
| San Jose | 940 | 2,992 | 30% | (19,100) | (2.1%) | 9.4% | $405,000 | 40% | 0.8 | |
| San Luis Obispo | 625 | 760 | 21% | (1,700) | (1.7%) | 8.0% | $386,500 | 62% | 5.1 | |
| Santa Barbara | 201 | 265 | 10% | (1,800) | (1.1%) | 8.3% | $245,000 | 37% | 0.0 | |
| Santa Cruz | 302 | 343 | 24% | (2,300) | (2.5%) | 12.6% | $379,000 | 48% | 0.5 | |
| Santa Rosa | 504 | 618 | 11% | (8,200) | (4.4%) | 8.6% | $314,000 | 41% | 1.1 | |
| Stockton | 753 | 766 | 11% | (2,900) | (1.4%) | 15.1% | $152,250 | 23% | 0.0 | |
| Vallejo-Fairfield | 322 | 554 | 9% | (3,900) | (3.1%) | 10.1% | $201,750 | 26% | 0.0 | |
| Ventura | 362 | 807 | 11% | (11,400) | (3.9%) | 9.1% | $360,000 | 39% | 1.8 | |
| Visalia-Porterville | 1,180 | 1,395 | 39% | (3,100) | (2.8%) | 16.2% | $130,000 | 24% | 0.3 | |
| Yuba-Sutter | 155 | 221 | 7% | (2,300) | (5.5%) | 17.6% | $155,500 | 29% | 1.2 | |
| Colorado | ||||||||||
| Boulder | 179 | 563 | 11% | (2,200) | (1.3%) | 5.8% | $283,218 | 30% | 1.3 | |
| Colorado Springs | 1,549 | 1,983 | 18% | (6,500) | (2.5%) | 8.1% | $167,000 | 21% | 0.0 | |
| Denver | 3,826 | 8,063 | 28% | (28,200) | (2.3%) | 7.4% | $169,900 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Fort Collins | 672 | 1,238 | 34% | 600 | 0.5% | 6.2% | $210,000 | 26% | 0.8 | |
| Grand Junction | 640 | 730 | 36% | 1,900 | 3.0% | 6.2% | $161,285 | 26% | 0.7 | |
| Greeley | 821 | 956 | 22% | 500 | 0.6% | 7.8% | $155,500 | 20% | 0.4 | |
| Pueblo | 376 | 413 | 29% | (800) | (1.4%) | 8.6% | $79,919 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Connecticut | ||||||||||
| Bridgeport | 631 | 1,681 | 32% | (10,400) | (2.5%) | 7.3% | $407,455 | 39% | 0.0 | |
| Hartford | 1,088 | 1,618 | 15% | (11,500) | (2.1%) | 7.9% | $215,110 | 26% | 0.0 | |
| New Haven | 542 | 834 | 11% | (2,500) | (0.9%) | 7.8% | $237,995 | 31% | 1.3 | |
| Delaware | ||||||||||
| Dover | 759 | 887 | 41% | (2,700) | (4.1%) | 7.3% | $176,534 | 29% | 4.0 | |
| Wilmington | 943 | 1,571 | 24% | (8,900) | (2.6%) | 7.6% | $198,692 | 27% | 1.2 | |
| District of Columbia | ||||||||||
| Washington D.C. | 7,114 | 10,729 | 28% | 2,800 | 0.1% | 5.7% | $266,940 | 25% | 0.5 | |
| Florida | ||||||||||
| Daytona Beach | 942 | 1,261 | 16% | (8,400) | (4.9%) | 9.9% | $123,500 | 24% | 1.7 | |
| Fort Lauderdale | 880 | 2,164 | 11% | (31,600) | (4.0%) | 7.7% | $197,500 | 30% | 2.2 | |
| Fort Myers | 1,149 | 1,430 | 5% | (20,600) | (9.1%) | 11.5% | $91,750 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Fort Walton Beach | 388 | 770 | 21% | (1,100) | (1.4%) | 7.0% | $177,471 | 26% | 1.0 | |
| Gainesville | 369 | 918 | 28% | (1,700) | (1.3%) | 5.9% | $164,203 | 36% | 3.1 | |
| Jacksonville | 4,890 | 6,459 | 26% | (20,600) | (3.3%) | 8.5% | $153,925 | 24% | 3.1 | |
| Lakeland | 2,160 | 2,829 | 22% | (7,900) | (3.7%) | 9.9% | $118,000 | 23% | 2.5 | |
| Melbourne | 1,190 | 1,617 | 16% | (10,700) | (5.1%) | 9.5% | $125,000 | 21% | 1.5 | |
| Miami | 973 | 3,301 | 13% | (29,400) | (2.8%) | 6.8% | $195,800 | 37% | 3.7 | |
| Naples | 617 | 823 | 10% | (7,800) | (5.9%) | 8.8% | $175,000 | 25% | 0.0 | |
| Ocala | 1,032 | 1,064 | 14% | (4,900) | (4.6%) | 11.6% | $130,000 | 26% | 4.5 | |
| Orlando | 4,910 | 8,868 | 25% | (41,800) | (3.8%) | 9.0% | $164,750 | 27% | 3.3 | |
| Panama City | 380 | 886 | 16% | (1,600) | (2.2%) | 9.8% | $173,932 | 30% | 4.3 | |
| Pensacola | 1,080 | 1,118 | 17% | (5,300) | (3.1%) | 8.9% | $130,253 | 23% | 0.0 | |
| Port St. Lucie | 770 | 1,140 | 11% | (8,400) | (6.3%) | 11.2% | $120,000 | 20% | 0.3 | |
| Tallahassee | 993 | 1,743 | 41% | (4,300) | (2.4%) | 6.6% | $144,178 | 28% | 0.0 | |
| Tampa | 4,733 | 9,224 | 24% | (42,200) | (3.4%) | 9.7% | $121,000 | 22% | 0.8 | |
| West Palm Beach | 1,166 | 1,663 | 7% | (19,800) | (3.6%) | 9.1% | $211,625 | 31% | 3.0 | |
| Georgia | ||||||||||
| Albany | 253 | 309 | 25% | (1,100) | (1.7%) | 8.3% | $87,324 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Athens | 501 | 695 | 30% | 100 | 0.1% | 6.6% | $128,689 | 26% | 0.0 | |
| Atlanta | 11,240 | 16,945 | 23% | (91,300) | (3.8%) | 8.7% | $142,022 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Augusta | 1,652 | 1,697 | 31% | (2,300) | (1.1%) | 8.7% | $112,871 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Columbus | 740 | 1,009 | 45% | (1,100) | (0.9%) | 8.2% | $103,431 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Dalton | 234 | 338 | 31% | (5,800) | (7.6%) | 12.0% | $101,063 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Gainesville | 334 | 341 | 13% | (1,900) | (2.4%) | 8.3% | $141,342 | 24% | 1.1 | |
| Macon | 516 | 863 | 46% | (600) | (0.6%) | 8.6% | $98,711 | 19% | 0.1 | |
| Savannah | 1,494 | 2,013 | 41% | (3,300) | (2.1%) | 7.5% | $139,033 | 24% | 2.2 | |
| Valdosta | 680 | 822 | 56% | (1,000) | (1.8%) | 7.9% | $102,357 | 23% | 0.0 | |
| Warner Robins | 634 | 939 | 44% | (1,200) | (2.0%) | 6.9% | $95,424 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Hawaii | ||||||||||
| Honolulu | 772 | 1,415 | 29% | (7,700) | (1.7%) | 5.2% | $537,909 | 63% | 3.2 | |
| Idaho | ||||||||||
| Boise City | 2,298 | 2,836 | 25% | (14,100) | (5.3%) | 8.6% | $163,516 | 23% | 0.7 | |
| Coeur D’Alene | 683 | 748 | 28% | 400 | 0.7% | 8.6% | $159,206 | 26% | 0.0 | |
| Illinois | ||||||||||
| Bloomington | 311 | 463 | 27% | 500 | 0.6% | 6.0% | $154,333 | 24% | 0.0 | |
| Champaign-Urbana | 391 | 940 | 43% | 4,700 | 4.3% | 6.8% | $136,715 | 25% | 1.5 | |
| Chicago | 5,335 | 12,143 | 28% | (106,000) | (2.8%) | 8.2% | $210,000 | 29% | 0.5 | |
| Decatur | 583 | 595 | 100% | (300) | (0.6%) | 9.3% | $82,920 | 16% | 0.3 | |
| Lake-Kenosha | 915 | 1,005 | 16% | (5,700) | (1.5%) | 9.0% | $237,097 | 27% | 0.0 | |
| Peoria | 765 | 888 | 46% | 1,300 | 0.7% | 7.4% | $114,461 | 19% | 2.1 | |
| Rockford | 358 | 463 | 18% | (5,400) | (3.4%) | 13.7% | $108,318 | 18% | 3.3 | |
| Springfield | 240 | 565 | 37% | 800 | 0.7% | 6.8% | $104,133 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Indiana | ||||||||||
| Bloomington | 345 | 586 | 48% | 0 | 0.0% | 6.9% | $119,997 | 24% | 0.0 | |
| Elkhart-Goshen | 326 | 476 | 29% | (15,300) | (12.3%) | 18.3% | $103,733 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Evansville | 534 | 761 | 35% | (4,800) | (2.7%) | 8.5% | $90,485 | 16% | 0.0 | |
| Fort Wayne | 740 | 985 | 27% | (2,400) | (1.1%) | 9.7% | $89,284 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Gary | 1,123 | 1,508 | 33% | (4,600) | (1.7%) | 9.9% | $117,393 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Indianapolis | 4,233 | 6,997 | 41% | (20,900) | (2.3%) | 8.0% | $109,758 | 16% | 0.0 | |
| Lafayette | 484 | 517 | 28% | (300) | (0.3%) | 8.4% | $103,764 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Muncie | 72 | 76 | 13% | (300) | (0.6%) | 9.9% | $71,000 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| South Bend | 379 | 763 | 38% | (2,100) | (1.5%) | 10.6% | $81,117 | 14% | 0.0 | |
| Terre Haute | 121 | 173 | 25% | (900) | (1.2%) | 10.2% | $73,880 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Iowa | ||||||||||
| Cedar Rapids | 786 | 1,035 | 50% | (500) | (0.4%) | 5.5% | $126,270 | 21% | 1.0 | |
| Davenport | 423 | 499 | 33% | 100 | 0.1% | 6.9% | $90,104 | 15% | 0.1 | |
| Des Moines | 1,764 | 2,706 | 43% | (4,100) | (1.3%) | 5.3% | $147,700 | 21% | 0.9 | |
| Dubuque | 207 | 220 | 25% | (600) | (1.1%) | 6.6% | $110,040 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Iowa City | 608 | 754 | 45% | (500) | (0.6%) | 4.1% | $140,801 | 24% | 0.0 | |
| Sioux City | 175 | 184 | 16% | 200 | 0.3% | 5.0% | $82,425 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Waterloo | 364 | 382 | 46% | (1,400) | (1.6%) | 4.4% | $106,793 | 18% | 3.2 | |
| Kansas | ||||||||||
| Topeka | 423 | 446 | 32% | 1,800 | 1.7% | 6.6% | $102,408 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Wichita | 1,630 | 2,120 | 46% | 3,300 | 1.1% | 5.8% | $118,790 | 19% | 1.9 | |
| Kentucky | ||||||||||
| Bowling Green | 352 | 436 | 32% | (1,200) | (2.0%) | 10.1% | $104,474 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Lexington | 1,331 | 2,906 | 57% | (6,200) | (2.4%) | 7.0% | $141,620 | 26% | 2.4 | |
| Louisville | 2,451 | 3,555 | 40% | (16,200) | (2.6%) | 9.4% | $127,179 | 23% | 0.7 | |
| Louisiana | ||||||||||
| Alexandria | 344 | 352 | 37% | (600) | (0.9%) | 5.6% | $90,080 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Baton Rouge | 2,406 | 3,544 | 39% | 2,000 | 0.5% | 5.4% | $159,901 | 25% | 1.1 | |
| Houma | 534 | 791 | 66% | 1,300 | 1.4% | 3.7% | $108,961 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Lafayette | 782 | 1,005 | 20% | 300 | 0.2% | 3.9% | $123,182 | 21% | 0.0 | |
| Lake Charles | 634 | 727 | 48% | (100) | (0.1%) | 5.0% | $103,960 | 17% | 0.1 | |
| Monroe | 243 | 324 | 27% | (900) | (1.2%) | 6.3% | $93,240 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| New Orleans | 2,584 | 4,315 | 33% | 3,400 | 0.7% | 5.5% | $160,218 | 24% | 0.1 | |
| Shreveport | 924 | 1,152 | 38% | (600) | (0.3%) | 7.3% | $132,177 | 25% | 2.0 | |
| Maine | ||||||||||
| Bangor | 290 | 534 | 54% | (300) | (0.5%) | 8.0% | $114,288 | 21% | 0.0 | |
| Portland | 1,084 | 1,193 | 21% | (3,900) | (2.0%) | 6.8% | $204,674 | 29% | 0.7 | |
| Maryland | ||||||||||
| Baltimore | 3,026 | 4,987 | 26% | (25,900) | (2.0%) | 7.1% | $238,316 | 30% | 6.0 | |
| Bethesda | 1,541 | 2,278 | 19% | (4,600) | (0.8%) | 4.8% | $350,000 | 32% | 4.2 | |
| Hagerstown | 906 | 1,082 | 26% | (2,800) | (2.8%) | 8.6% | $156,445 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| Salisbury | 267 | 413 | 32% | (1,500) | (2.8%) | 9.4% | $140,282 | 25% | 0.3 | |
| Massachusetts | ||||||||||
| Barnstable Town | 376 | 519 | 11% | (1,500) | (1.6%) | 10.8% | $290,006 | 37% | 0.0 | |
| Boston | 1,042 | 3,396 | 32% | (28,600) | (1.7%) | 6.8% | $324,110 | 38% | 2.0 | |
| Cambridge | 1,120 | 2,036 | 27% | (50,100) | (2.0%) | 7.2% | $346,157 | 35% | 0.2 | |
| Michigan | ||||||||||
| Ann Arbor | 269 | 328 | 11% | (5,000) | (2.6%) | 7.3% | $158,101 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| Battle Creek | 53 | 87 | 14% | (3,000) | (5.2%) | 11.2% | $80,680 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Detroit | 511 | 900 | 14% | (49,700) | (6.5%) | 14.2% | $82,477 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Flint | 145 | 187 | 5% | (8,300) | (5.8%) | 14.8% | $78,848 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Grand Rapids | 997 | 1,054 | 21% | (19,000) | (4.9%) | 10.3% | $101,133 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Holland | 385 | 555 | 20% | (7,500) | (6.7%) | 11.4% | $132,244 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Jackson | 105 | 173 | 17% | (2,800) | (4.9%) | 12.1% | $87,155 | 16% | 0.0 | |
| Kalamazoo | 489 | 662 | 27% | (5,300) | (3.7%) | 9.6% | $107,930 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Lansing | 240 | 285 | 9% | (8,400) | (3.7%) | 10.9% | $91,827 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Muskegon | 185 | 193 | 20% | (3,000) | (4.7%) | 13.6% | $85,581 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Niles | 156 | 166 | 20% | (2,200) | (3.5%) | 11.6% | $109,612 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Saginaw | 151 | 224 | 23% | (3,800) | (4.4%) | 12.4% | $62,991 | 13% | 0.0 | |
| Warren | 1,350 | 1,650 | 8% | (92,000) | (8.1%) | 12.3% | $142,716 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Minnesota | ||||||||||
| Duluth | 604 | 717 | 42% | (2,000) | (1.5%) | 9.9% | $107,390 | 20% | 3.9 | |
| Minneapolis | 4,024 | 5,490 | 20% | (50,000) | (2.8%) | 7.8% | $174,960 | 22% | 0.1 | |
| Rochester | 439 | 641 | 32% | 500 | 0.5% | 7.0% | $126,466 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| St. Cloud | 381 | 530 | 26% | (600) | (0.6%) | 9.4% | $129,070 | 21% | 0.8 | |
| Mississippi | ||||||||||
| Gulfport-Biloxi | 1,772 | 3,414 | 62% | (2,400) | (2.2%) | 7.6% | $133,318 | 25% | 1.9 | |
| Hattiesburg | 76 | 672 | 57% | (1,600) | (2.6%) | 6.8% | $91,363 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Jackson | 1,817 | 1,849 | 41% | (2,800) | (1.1%) | 7.1% | $127,778 | 23% | 0.1 | |
| Pascagoula | 498 | 858 | 55% | (1,000) | (1.7%) | 8.8% | $103,948 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Missouri | ||||||||||
| Columbia | 473 | 539 | 23% | 700 | 0.8% | 6.0% | $125,070 | 24% | 0.0 | |
| Jefferson City | 144 | 157 | 14% | (1,100) | (1.4%) | 7.3% | $104,577 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Joplin | 185 | 271 | 37% | 200 | 0.3% | 6.8% | $80,068 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Kansas City | 2,559 | 4,897 | 27% | (8,600) | (0.9%) | 8.2% | $137,735 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Springfield | 895 | 2,009 | 39% | (2,900) | (1.5%) | 7.6% | $112,948 | 23% | 0.3 | |
| St. Joseph | 90 | 102 | 24% | (1,500) | (2.5%) | 7.8% | $81,683 | 16% | 0.0 | |
| St. Louis | 4,491 | 5,484 | 30% | (26,600) | (2.0%) | 9.1% | $160,383 | 26% | 3.8 | |
| Montana | ||||||||||
| Billings | 552 | 577 | 39% | (1,800) | (2.3%) | 4.6% | $130,160 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Missoula | 316 | 434 | 39% | (1,200) | (2.2%) | 6.6% | $181,621 | 32% | 1.9 | |
| Nebraska | ||||||||||
| Lincoln | 664 | 785 | 29% | (600) | (0.4%) | 4.8% | $132,374 | 20% | 0.6 | |
| Omaha | 3,065 | 4,194 | 63% | (300) | (0.1%) | 5.2% | $131,195 | 19% | 0.4 | |
| Nevada | ||||||||||
| Las Vegas | 5,625 | 12,435 | 32% | (38,600) | (4.2%) | 10.0% | $165,000 | 24% | 0.0 | |
| Reno | 886 | 1,872 | 30% | (15,600) | (7.3%) | 11.0% | $200,000 | 29% | 0.0 | |
| New Hampshire | ||||||||||
| Manchester | 412 | 683 | 10% | (500) | (0.5%) | 5.5% | $174,655 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| New Jersey | ||||||||||
| Atlantic City | 658 | 765 | 19% | (2,300) | (1.6%) | 10.8% | $217,418 | 36% | 4.4 | |
| Camden | 1,686 | 2,574 | 31% | (19,000) | (3.6%) | 8.0% | $197,115 | 26% | 3.1 | |
| Edison | 2,752 | 4,548 | 19% | (41,300) | (4.0%) | 7.5% | $320,914 | 38% | 5.6 | |
| Newark-Union | 1,769 | 4,273 | 46% | (20,000) | (1.9%) | 7.6% | $374,817 | 47% | 4.9 | |
| Trenton | 285 | 592 | 16% | (2,800) | (1.2%) | 6.9% | $288,107 | 37% | 5.1 | |
| Vineland | 316 | 321 | 44% | (900) | (1.5%) | 11.9% | $140,791 | 26% | 2.9 | |
| New Mexico | ||||||||||
| Albuquerque | 1,971 | 2,475 | 28% | (3,400) | (0.9%) | 5.4% | $194,063 | 30% | 1.2 | |
| Las Cruces | 929 | 1,107 | 44% | 400 | 0.6% | 5.6% | $108,385 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| Santa Fe | 133 | 133 | 10% | 500 | 0.8% | 4.6% | $226,366 | 31% | 0.0 | |
| New York | ||||||||||
| Albany | 1,159 | 1,934 | 36% | (8,400) | (1.9%) | 7.1% | $193,527 | 29% | 3.2 | |
| Binghamton | 232 | 274 | 21% | (1,200) | (1.1%) | 8.5% | $106,030 | 20% | 1.8 | |
| Buffalo | 1,000 | 1,375 | 30% | (4,600) | (0.9%) | 9.0% | $104,302 | 20% | 0.8 | |
| Glens Falls | 322 | 368 | 23% | (800) | (1.5%) | 9.3% | $162,533 | 31% | 3.8 | |
| Ithaca | 116 | 239 | 36% | (200) | (0.3%) | 5.6% | $156,296 | 29% | 2.8 | |
| Kingston | 233 | 301 | 21% | (1,200) | (2.0%) | 7.8% | $232,437 | 36% | 3.5 | |
| Nassau | 1,888 | 2,960 | 26% | (23,400) | (1.9%) | 6.9% | $376,064 | 36% | 4.1 | |
| New York | 2,087 | 38,029 | 92% | (83,900) | (1.6%) | 7.3% | $443,237 | 65% | 4.3 | |
| Poughkeepsie | 961 | 1,412 | 27% | (2,900) | (1.2%) | 7.4% | $217,793 | 27% | 0.8 | |
| Rochester | 1,373 | 1,564 | 30% | (500) | (0.1%) | 8.0% | $113,422 | 19% | 1.3 | |
| Syracuse | 848 | 1,093 | 32% | (1,000) | (0.3%) | 8.3% | $115,578 | 21% | 2.0 | |
| Utica-Rome | 240 | 288 | 22% | (700) | (0.5%) | 8.3% | $103,488 | 22% | 2.0 | |
| North Carolina | ||||||||||
| Asheville | 1,675 | 2,349 | 55% | (6,300) | (3.6%) | 8.7% | $172,189 | 32% | 2.7 | |
| Burlington | 639 | 695 | 34% | (2,100) | (3.5%) | 10.9% | $105,008 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Charlotte | 7,167 | 11,872 | 47% | (31,600) | (3.7%) | 10.5% | $135,750 | 20% | 0.1 | |
| Durham | 1,922 | 2,594 | 40% | (1,700) | (0.6%) | 7.3% | $170,622 | 28% | 1.4 | |
| Fayetteville | 1,456 | 2,520 | 58% | (2,000) | (1.6%) | 8.8% | $103,592 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Greensboro | 1,978 | 3,211 | 50% | (19,500) | (5.3%) | 10.5% | $137,285 | 25% | 0.0 | |
| Greenville | 536 | 1,134 | 44% | (2,400) | (3.1%) | 9.7% | $104,628 | 21% | 0.0 | |
| Hickory | 835 | 872 | 36% | (8,900) | (5.6%) | 13.6% | $106,436 | 21% | 0.0 | |
| Raleigh-Cary | 6,144 | 10,690 | 60% | (12,600) | (2.4%) | 7.9% | $195,000 | 26% | 1.1 | |
| Rocky Mount | 410 | 415 | 40% | (2,800) | (4.3%) | 13.2% | $95,132 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Wilmington | 3,154 | 3,877 | 42% | (3,600) | (2.5%) | 9.9% | $195,338 | 34% | 2.5 | |
| Winston-Salem | 1,496 | 1,609 | 36% | (8,100) | (3.7%) | 9.3% | $115,181 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| North Dakota | ||||||||||
| Bismarck | 546 | 801 | 73% | 500 | 0.8% | 5.5% | $134,345 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Fargo | 870 | 1,342 | 48% | 900 | 0.8% | 4.7% | $132,709 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Grand Forks | 195 | 344 | 51% | 100 | 0.2% | 5.1% | $115,407 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Ohio | ||||||||||
| Akron | 842 | 981 | 24% | (11,400) | (3.4%) | 9.5% | $87,500 | 14% | 0.0 | |
| Canton | 342 | 486 | 31% | (4,700) | (2.8%) | 10.5% | $89,107 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Cincinnati | 3,159 | 4,048 | 26% | (24,400) | (2.4%) | 8.4% | $138,500 | 20% | 0.4 | |
| Cleveland | 2,166 | 2,491 | 31% | (44,100) | (4.2%) | 7.6% | $105,848 | 16% | 0.0 | |
| Columbus | 2,535 | 4,155 | 24% | (18,500) | (2.0%) | 7.6% | $116,000 | 16% | 0.0 | |
| Dayton | 1,048 | 1,272 | 31% | (14,300) | (3.6%) | 10.9% | $104,416 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Lima | 115 | 122 | 24% | (1,700) | (3.1%) | 11.2% | $87,259 | 14% | 0.0 | |
| Mansfield | 82 | 101 | 17% | (1,400) | (2.5%) | 12.9% | $88,542 | 16% | 0.0 | |
| Springfield | 75 | 105 | 15% | (600) | (1.2%) | 9.6% | $89,074 | 14% | 0.0 | |
| Toledo | 622 | 1,101 | 27% | (14,900) | (4.7%) | 13.3% | $92,202 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Youngstown | 362 | 508 | 27% | (7,600) | (3.3%) | 13.1% | $67,702 | 12% | 0.0 | |
| Oklahoma | ||||||||||
| Oklahoma City | 3,480 | 3,837 | 18% | 7,000 | 1.2% | 5.2% | $125,655 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Tulsa | 2,753 | 3,849 | 32% | 3,000 | 0.7% | 5.6% | $132,076 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Oregon | ||||||||||
| Bend | 653 | 740 | 17% | (2,700) | (4.0%) | 14.6% | $196,250 | 28% | 1.3 | |
| Eugene | 585 | 753 | 27% | (6,500) | (4.2%) | 11.9% | $194,673 | 33% | 4.6 | |
| Medford | 377 | 457 | 21% | (2,900) | (3.6%) | 12.9% | $168,254 | 30% | 1.1 | |
| Portland | 3,915 | 7,491 | 38% | (26,700) | (2.6%) | 9.8% | $243,000 | 33% | 5.4 | |
| Salem | 605 | 1,006 | 30% | (2,800) | (1.9%) | 10.7% | $186,900 | 30% | 5.3 | |
| Pennsylvania | ||||||||||
| Allentown | 1,572 | 1,790 | 33% | (4,500) | (1.3%) | 8.1% | $205,084 | 31% | 3.6 | |
| Altoona | 46 | 200 | 40% | (1,400) | (2.3%) | 7.8% | $96,704 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Erie | 266 | 409 | 40% | 400 | 0.3% | 8.1% | $97,737 | 19% | 0.1 | |
| Harrisburg | 1,531 | 1,565 | 42% | (3,200) | (1.0%) | 6.7% | $143,095 | 21% | 1.6 | |
| Johnstown | 147 | 163 | 44% | (1,400) | (2.3%) | 8.8% | $83,315 | 19% | 1.9 | |
| Lancaster | 1,202 | 1,534 | 42% | (4,400) | (1.9%) | 6.7% | $163,387 | 24% | 2.1 | |
| Philadelphia | 3,922 | 5,827 | 33% | (20,400) | (1.1%) | 7.3% | $210,758 | 29% | 3.8 | |
| Pittsburgh | 2,867 | 3,337 | 47% | (8,600) | (0.8%) | 7.3% | $113,430 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Reading | 505 | 686 | 31% | (3,200) | (1.9%) | 8.1% | $147,422 | 22% | 3.3 | |
| Scranton | 793 | 897 | 41% | (4,600) | (1.8%) | 8.8% | $118,393 | 23% | 1.6 | |
| State College | 408 | 491 | 45% | (300) | (0.4%) | 6.1% | $153,338 | 29% | 1.9 | |
| Williamsport | 80 | 89 | 17% | (1,700) | (3.2%) | 9.2% | $106,356 | 21% | 0.6 | |
| York | 1,034 | 1,164 | 37% | (1,800) | (1.0%) | 7.2% | $158,221 | 23% | 2.3 | |
| Rhode Island | ||||||||||
| Providence | 1,233 | 1,473 | 13% | (20,600) | (3.7%) | 11.5% | $214,436 | 32% | 0.5 | |
| South Carolina | ||||||||||
| Anderson | 530 | 605 | 31% | (4,300) | (6.7%) | 11.5% | $99,148 | 17% | 0.0 | |
| Charleston | 3,457 | 4,724 | 44% | (5,500) | (1.9%) | 8.6% | $173,000 | 26% | 0.0 | |
| Columbia | 3,309 | 4,474 | 55% | (7,800) | (2.1%) | 8.5% | $114,950 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Florence | 554 | 978 | 75% | (2,200) | (2.5%) | 11.5% | $95,849 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Greenville | 2,231 | 2,724 | 49% | (8,200) | (2.6%) | 9.3% | $125,000 | 22% | 0.6 | |
| Myrtle Beach | 1,783 | 2,845 | 24% | (8,100) | (7.0%) | 14.4% | $171,116 | 29% | 0.0 | |
| Spartanburg | 984 | 984 | 36% | (1,000) | (0.8%) | 10.8% | $119,733 | 21% | 0.3 | |
| South Dakota | ||||||||||
| Rapid City | 449 | 463 | 34% | 300 | 0.5% | 5.1% | $120,430 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Sioux Falls | 897 | 1,827 | 73% | 400 | 0.3% | 4.7% | $136,096 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Tennessee | ||||||||||
| Chattanooga | 1,209 | 1,552 | 41% | (4,000) | (1.6%) | 8.1% | $125,789 | 24% | 0.0 | |
| Clarksville | 1,049 | 1,486 | 46% | (2,900) | (3.5%) | 9.6% | $97,333 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Jackson | 335 | 395 | 35% | (1,300) | (2.1%) | 9.0% | $84,813 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Johnson City | 549 | 990 | 69% | (2,700) | (3.3%) | 8.1% | $110,482 | 25% | 0.0 | |
| Kingsport | 772 | 856 | 56% | (2,000) | (1.6%) | 8.4% | $106,785 | 24% | 0.0 | |
| Knoxville | 2,003 | 2,635 | 41% | (9,600) | (2.9%) | 7.4% | $143,875 | 26% | 0.0 | |
| Memphis | 2,229 | 3,195 | 29% | (15,400) | (2.4%) | 8.8% | $118,004 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| Nashville | 5,346 | 7,843 | 43% | (23,400) | (3.1%) | 8.0% | $145,000 | 23% | 1.3 | |
| Texas | ||||||||||
| Abilene | 196 | 198 | 9% | 1,500 | 2.3% | 5.1% | $91,400 | 17% | 1.6 | |
| Amarillo | 481 | 733 | 20% | 300 | 0.3% | 4.6% | $127,300 | 22% | 3.4 | |
| Austin | 7,709 | 13,465 | 51% | 6,600 | 0.9% | 6.4% | $175,800 | 25% | 1.7 | |
| Beaumont | 799 | 1,637 | 66% | (200) | (0.1%) | 8.7% | $126,000 | 23% | 3.5 | |
| Brownsville | 989 | 1,250 | 32% | (2,300) | (1.8%) | 9.5% | $83,300 | 22% | 3.6 | |
| College Station | 795 | 2,093 | 59% | 3,400 | 3.8% | 5.1% | $155,500 | 31% | 3.6 | |
| Corpus Christi | 1,137 | 1,387 | 23% | 2,100 | 1.2% | 6.2% | $129,600 | 26% | 3.7 | |
| Dallas | 11,517 | 24,850 | 34% | (9,800) | (0.5%) | 7.1% | $138,100 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| El Paso | 2,884 | 3,843 | 59% | (1,200) | (0.4%) | 8.3% | $136,300 | 31% | 0.0 | |
| Fort Worth | 6,886 | 9,935 | 26% | 2,700 | 0.3% | 7.0% | $104,300 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Houston | 27,109 | 41,919 | 56% | 17,200 | 0.7% | 6.5% | $129,700 | 19% | 0.0 | |
| Killeen | 1,646 | 2,253 | 49% | 3,000 | 2.4% | 6.5% | $116,988 | 21% | 2.0 | |
| Laredo | 696 | 1,028 | 43% | 1,800 | 2.0% | 7.3% | $88,830 | 21% | 0.0 | |
| Longview | 180 | 221 | 14% | 400 | 0.4% | 5.8% | $107,800 | 20% | 1.3 | |
| Lubbock | 981 | 1,305 | 31% | 900 | 0.7% | 4.7% | $108,200 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| McAllen | 2,985 | 3,397 | 37% | 1,400 | 0.6% | 10.1% | $91,200 | 23% | 0.0 | |
| Midland | 473 | 473 | 12% | 2,400 | 3.5% | 3.8% | $121,146 | 20% | 1.5 | |
| Odessa | 233 | 695 | 33% | 3,100 | 5.0% | 4.9% | $138,000 | 26% | 4.0 | |
| San Antonio | 5,828 | 9,636 | 43% | 1,700 | 0.2% | 6.3% | $143,800 | 24% | 3.2 | |
| Texarkana | 85 | 142 | 17% | 800 | 1.4% | 5.5% | $77,638 | 15% | 0.0 | |
| Tyler | 209 | 276 | 9% | 1,200 | 1.3% | 6.9% | $115,600 | 21% | 0.0 | |
| Waco | 554 | 844 | 28% | 700 | 0.7% | 5.9% | $108,600 | 22% | 0.1 | |
| Wichita Falls | 156 | 181 | 20% | (1,200) | (1.9%) | 6.8% | $90,000 | 18% | 0.2 | |
| Utah | ||||||||||
| Ogden-Clearfield | 1,416 | 1,851 | 36% | (2,800) | (1.4%) | 5.2% | $143,959 | 22% | 1.0 | |
| Provo-Orem | 1,087 | 1,423 | 22% | (5,600) | (3.0%) | 4.7% | $161,635 | 27% | 1.3 | |
| Salt Lake City | 1,794 | 4,391 | 35% | (6,600) | (1.0%) | 4.6% | $198,367 | 31% | 5.1 | |
| St. George | 654 | 671 | 17% | (2,100) | (4.0%) | 7.1% | $161,786 | 30% | 0.0 | |
| Virginia | ||||||||||
| Charlottesville | 749 | 871 | 33% | (1,900) | (1.9%) | 5.3% | $218,184 | 31% | 1.4 | |
| Harrisonburg | 505 | 936 | 72% | (1,900) | (3.0%) | 6.0% | $168,649 | 30% | 1.9 | |
| Lynchburg | 829 | 847 | 46% | (1,100) | (1.0%) | 7.0% | $134,792 | 25% | 0.2 | |
| Richmond | 3,801 | 4,832 | 42% | (16,400) | (2.6%) | 6.9% | $195,000 | 29% | 2.8 | |
| Roanoke | 649 | 724 | 38% | (2,600) | (1.6%) | 6.5% | $140,422 | 24% | 0.0 | |
| Virginia Beach | 3,122 | 4,582 | 19% | (3,400) | (0.5%) | 6.7% | $208,740 | 31% | 4.4 | |
| Winchester | 454 | 453 | 25% | (2,600) | (4.6%) | 7.7% | $146,725 | 23% | 0.0 | |
| Washington | ||||||||||
| Bellingham | 488 | 590 | 23% | (1,800) | (2.1%) | 7.8% | $216,703 | 35% | 2.3 | |
| Bremerton | 660 | 758 | 29% | (3,100) | (3.6%) | 7.3% | $240,000 | 30% | 4.2 | |
| Kennewick | 868 | 978 | 30% | 2,600 | 2.9% | 8.8% | $151,173 | 22% | 1.4 | |
| Olympia | 1,102 | 1,216 | 38% | 300 | 0.3% | 7.5% | $253,500 | 33% | 6.2 | |
| Seattle | 4,499 | 12,745 | 46% | (30,700) | (2.1%) | 7.1% | $350,000 | 40% | 5.1 | |
| Spokane | 1,190 | 1,772 | 40% | (3,400) | (1.6%) | 9.4% | $166,585 | 28% | 4.6 | |
| Tacoma | 1,721 | 2,336 | 34% | (6,700) | (2.4%) | 8.9% | $228,000 | 30% | 3.2 | |
| Yakima | 602 | 695 | 57% | (300) | (0.4%) | 10.9% | $144,330 | 25% | 1.2 | |
| West Virginia | ||||||||||
| Charleston | 307 | 562 | 67% | (200) | (0.1%) | 4.9% | $123,770 | 22% | 0.0 | |
| Huntington | 104 | 129 | 20% | (1,900) | (1.6%) | 6.9% | $84,759 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Morgantown | 32 | 211 | 86% | 1,300 | 2.2% | 3.9% | $121,273 | 23% | 0.0 | |
| Parkersburg | 136 | 192 | 44% | 200 | 0.3% | 8.2% | $88,862 | 16% | 0.1 | |
| Wheeling | 44 | 46 | 16% | (600) | (0.9%) | 8.0% | $76,111 | 14% | 0.0 | |
| Wisconsin | ||||||||||
| Appleton | 479 | 646 | 30% | (2,200) | (1.9%) | 7.1% | $123,443 | 19% | 1.8 | |
| Eau Claire | 323 | 458 | 32% | (1,500) | (1.8%) | 7.1% | $111,418 | 20% | 1.6 | |
| Green Bay | 508 | 715 | 23% | (3,800) | (2.3%) | 7.3% | $138,427 | 22% | 2.1 | |
| Janesville | 209 | 244 | 19% | (3,900) | (5.7%) | 11.6% | $112,471 | 19% | 2.1 | |
| La Crosse | 308 | 368 | 43% | (1,500) | (2.0%) | 6.6% | $113,911 | 20% | 0.0 | |
| Madison | 760 | 1,876 | 31% | (6,100) | (1.8%) | 5.3% | $216,399 | 31% | 4.3 | |
| Milwaukee | 1,206 | 2,445 | 29% | (23,300) | (2.8%) | 7.1% | $199,868 | 32% | 4.8 | |
| Oshkosh-Neenah | 413 | 530 | 36% | (300) | (0.3%) | 6.4% | $113,178 | 18% | 0.0 | |
| Racine | 314 | 315 | 25% | (1,500) | (1.9%) | 8.8% | $138,851 | 22% | 2.5 | |
| Sheboygan | 129 | 245 | 33% | (1,300) | (2.1%) | 7.8% | $122,741 | 21% | 2.5 | |
| Wausau | 231 | 448 | 32% | (1,900) | (2.6%) | 7.5% | $115,664 | 18% | 1.1 | |
| Wyoming | ||||||||||
| Cheyenne | 155 | 183 | 21% | 200 | 0.5% | 5.9% | $125,012 | 19% | 0.0 | |