Building Market Intelligence

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Student Debt’s Drag on Homeownership

For eight years in a row now, homeownership has fallen in the first quarter, and we expect another small decline to be announced tomorrow. In our book Big Shifts Ahead, we forecast homeownership of 60.8% by 2025. Demographics are the …

Housing—It’s a Matter of Life or Defense (Spending)

Under President Trump’s proposed federal budget, the DC region could lose $1.2 billion in federal procurement dollars, mostly in Maryland and the District of Columbia. However, while the region will suffer, Virginia’s suburbs could experience an increase in federal defense …

Only a Few Bubble Signs Brewing

Once again, we have completed our annual housing bubble check-in. Assessing the criteria that 73 industry executives identified in 2013, we found three qualitative signs of a bubble, two signs of a mini-bubble, and five signs of no bubble. Click …

Apartment Returns Shifting to Secondary Markets

Co-Authored by Alex Wilson, Research Analyst Secondary apartment markets and what we call surban™ locations (desirable suburban locations with urban amenities) have shifted to become outperformers. Secondary markets (determined by historical permit activity) have had less construction than primary markets and …

M&A Heating Up

2017 is shaping up to be a big year for acquisitions. We have been very busy helping both buyers and sellers with their market due diligence and cash flow forecasting for multiple recapitalization, IPO, and M&A transactions that have already …

3 Secrets to Pricing Infill New Home Projects

In many areas of California, particularly the more built-out coastal counties, an increasing number of projects are being built in older infill neighborhoods. Infill areas often have no actively selling new home projects to use as comps for new deals; …

Housing’s Got a Spring in Its Step This Year

Three months into 2017, it is clear to us that home builders have started the year off on a much better foot than 2016. Based on our monthly survey of over 300 home builders across the country, new home sales …

Sounding the Alarm on Health Care, Technology, and Automotive

Three major industries appear to be overheated and will likely be shedding jobs sometime soon: health care, technology, and automotive. Our 68-page white paper Industries at Risk and Implications for Housing outlines our concern about jobs and housing markets tied …

Shifting Family Structure Hurting Homeownership

When researching our new book Big Shifts Ahead, we learned that 40% of all kids are born to an unmarried mom, and 32% of all kids live with only one parent.  Single-parenting has been on the rise for decades.  The …

A Career Woman’s Perspective on Home Buying

It is no secret that women’s role in the workplace has been steadily rising since the 1950s. In fact, the percentage of women in the workforce has doubled since the 1950s, while the percentage of men in the workforce has …